| ← Back to Cover | |||||||||||||
| LOAN LOSS PROVISIONING | |||||||||||||
| Commercial Bank — ALLL Rollforward ($mm) | |||||||||||||
| FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 | FY2027 | FY2028 | FY2029 | FY2030 | FY2031 | FY2032 | FY2033 | FY2034 | FY2035 | ||
| ALLL ROLLFORWARD | |||||||||||||
| Beginning ALLL | $195 | $219 | $232 | $281 | $333 | $387 | $444 | $505 | $569 | $636 | $708 | $783 | |
| Provision for Credit Losses | $145 | $168 | $157 | $165 | $174 | $184 | $194 | $205 | $216 | $228 | $240 | $253 | |
| Net Charge-Offs | ($105) | ($111) | ($108) | ($114) | ($120) | ($126) | ($133) | ($141) | ($148) | ($157) | ($165) | ($174) | |
| Other Adjustments | ($16) | ($44) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Ending ALLL | $219 | $232 | $281 | $333 | $387 | $444 | $505 | $569 | $636 | $708 | $783 | $862 | |
| KEY CREDIT RATIOS | |||||||||||||
| ALLL / Gross Loans | 1.25% | 1.25% | 1.44% | 1.61% | 1.78% | 1.93% | 2.08% | 2.22% | 2.36% | 2.49% | 2.61% | 2.72% | |
| Provision / Avg Loans | 0.83% | 0.91% | 0.80% | 0.80% | 0.80% | 0.80% | 0.80% | 0.80% | 0.80% | 0.80% | 0.80% | 0.80% | |
| NCO / Avg Loans | 0.60% | 0.60% | 0.55% | 0.55% | 0.55% | 0.55% | 0.55% | 0.55% | 0.55% | 0.55% | 0.55% | 0.55% | |
| NPL Ratio (from Assumptions) | 1.20% | 1.20% | 1.10% | 1.10% | 1.10% | 1.10% | 1.10% | 1.10% | 1.10% | 1.10% | 1.10% | 1.10% | |
| ALLL / NPLs (Coverage) | 1.0x | 1.0x | 1.3x | 1.5x | 1.6x | 1.8x | 1.9x | 2.0x | 2.1x | 2.3x | 2.4x | 2.5x | |
| PROVISION ADEQUACY | |||||||||||||
| Required ALLL (target ratio) | $219 | $232 | $235 | $248 | $261 | $276 | $291 | $307 | $324 | $342 | $360 | $380 | |
| Actual ALLL | $219 | $232 | $281 | $333 | $387 | $444 | $505 | $569 | $636 | $708 | $783 | $862 | |
| Surplus / (Deficit) | $0 | $0 | $46 | $85 | $126 | $169 | $214 | $262 | $313 | $366 | $422 | $482 | |
| Note: NCOs derived from Assumptions NCO rate. Provision = Gross Loans x Provision Rate. | |||||||||||||