| ← Back to Cover | |||||||||||||
| STRESS TEST — ADVERSE SCENARIO | |||||||||||||
| Moderate downturn — Elevated credit losses, rate pressure | |||||||||||||
| FY2026 | FY2027 | FY2028 | FY2029 | FY2030 | FY2031 | FY2032 | FY2033 | FY2034 | FY2035 | ||||
| SCENARIO PARAMETERS | |||||||||||||
| Loan Growth Shock | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% | |||
| NCO Rate Increase | 2.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | |||
| Provision Multiplier | 2.0x | 2.0x | 2.0x | 2.0x | 2.0x | 2.0x | 2.0x | 2.0x | 2.0x | 2.0x | |||
| NII Impact | -2.0% | -2.0% | -2.0% | -2.0% | -2.0% | -2.0% | -2.0% | -2.0% | -2.0% | -2.0% | |||
| Fee Income Impact | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% | |||
| Securities Haircut | -10.0% | -10.0% | -10.0% | -10.0% | -10.0% | -10.0% | -10.0% | -10.0% | -10.0% | -10.0% | |||
| OpEx Increase | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | |||
| STRESSED INCOME STATEMENT | |||||||||||||
| Base NII | $775 | $932 | $1,210 | $1,723 | $2,707 | $4,628 | $8,422 | $15,958 | $30,976 | $60,955 | |||
| NII Stress Impact | ($15) | ($19) | ($24) | ($34) | ($54) | ($93) | ($168) | ($319) | ($620) | ($1,219) | |||
| Stressed NII | $759 | $914 | $1,185 | $1,689 | $2,653 | $4,535 | $8,253 | $15,639 | $30,357 | $59,736 | |||
| Base Provision | $157 | $165 | $174 | $184 | $194 | $205 | $216 | $228 | $240 | $253 | |||
| Stressed Provision | $313 | $330 | $349 | $368 | $388 | $409 | $432 | $455 | $481 | $507 | |||
| Base Non-II | $392 | $403 | $414 | $425 | $436 | $448 | $460 | $472 | $485 | $498 | |||
| Stressed Non-II | $390 | $401 | $412 | $423 | $434 | $446 | $458 | $470 | $483 | $496 | |||
| Base OpEx | $863 | $892 | $922 | $954 | $986 | $1,020 | $1,054 | $1,090 | $1,127 | $1,166 | |||
| Stressed OpEx | $906 | $937 | $969 | $1,001 | $1,035 | $1,071 | $1,107 | $1,145 | $1,184 | $1,224 | |||
| Stressed Pre-Tax Income | ($70) | $47 | $280 | $742 | $1,663 | $3,501 | $7,172 | $14,509 | $29,175 | $58,500 | |||
| Stressed Net Income | ($53) | $35 | $210 | $557 | $1,247 | $2,626 | $5,379 | $10,882 | $21,881 | $43,875 | |||
| STRESSED CAPITAL IMPACT | |||||||||||||
| Base CET1 Ratio | 11.53% | 11.06% | 10.56% | 10.01% | 9.36% | 8.54% | 7.48% | 6.13% | 4.60% | 3.11% | |||
| Stressed CET1 (Net Income chg) | 10.68% | 10.19% | 9.67% | 9.10% | 8.40% | 7.52% | 6.36% | 4.87% | 3.16% | 1.48% | |||
| Min Regulatory CET1 | 4.50% | 4.50% | 4.50% | 4.50% | 4.50% | 4.50% | 4.50% | 4.50% | 4.50% | 4.50% | |||
| CET1 Buffer Over Minimum | 6.18% | 5.69% | 5.17% | 4.60% | 3.90% | 3.02% | 1.86% | 0.37% | -1.34% | -3.02% | |||
| Note: Adverse scenario represents moderate economic downturn with elevated credit losses. | |||||||||||||