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| ASSUMPTIONS | ||||||||||
| All amounts in USD millions unless otherwise noted | ||||||||||
| Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | ||||||
| Revenue Assumptions | ||||||||||
| Base Year Revenue ($mm) | 1,500 | Source: Placeholder | ||||||||
| Revenue Growth Rate | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | |||||
| Cost & Margin Assumptions | ||||||||||
| COGS (% of Revenue) | 62.0% | 61.5% | 61.0% | 60.5% | 60.0% | |||||
| EBITDA Margin | 18.0% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 20.0% | |||||
| SG&A (% of Revenue) | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | |||||
| R&D (% of Revenue) | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | |||||
| Tax Rate | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | |||||
| Terminal Value Assumptions | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value Method | Perpetuity Growth | Options: Perpetuity Growth / Exit Multiple | ||||||||
| Mid-Year Convention | Yes | Yes / No | ||||||||
| Terminal Growth Rate | 2.5% | |||||||||
| Exit EV/EBITDA Multiple | 8.0x | |||||||||
| Capital Expenditure & Depreciation | ||||||||||
| Capex (% of Revenue) | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | |||||
| Depreciation (% of Prior PP&E) | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | |||||
| Beginning PP&E (Net) | 850 | |||||||||
| Working Capital Assumptions | ||||||||||
| Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) | 45 | 44 | 43 | 42 | 42 | |||||
| Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO) | 60 | 58 | 56 | 55 | 54 | |||||
| Days Payable Outstanding (DPO) | 40 | 40 | 41 | 41 | 42 | |||||
| Other Current Assets (% of Rev) | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | |||||
| Other Current Liabilities (% of Rev) | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | |||||
| Capital Structure & Debt | ||||||||||
| Total Debt ($mm) | 500 | |||||||||
| Cash & Equivalents ($mm) | 120 | |||||||||
| Net Debt ($mm) | 380 | |||||||||
| Shares Outstanding (mm) | 100.0 | |||||||||
| Current Share Price ($) | $22.00 | |||||||||
| Market Cap ($mm) | 2,200 | |||||||||
| Enterprise Value ($mm) | 2,580 | |||||||||
| WACC Inputs | ||||||||||
| Risk-Free Rate | 4.20% | Source: 10-Year US Treasury | ||||||||
| Equity Risk Premium | 5.50% | Source: Damodaran ERP | ||||||||
| Beta (Levered) | 1.15 | |||||||||
| Size Premium | 1.00% | |||||||||
| Company-Specific Risk Premium | 0.50% | |||||||||
| Pre-Tax Cost of Debt | 5.50% | |||||||||
| Debt / Total Capital | 18.5% | |||||||||
| Equity / Total Capital | 81.5% | |||||||||