| ← Back to Cover | ||||||||
| DCF VALUATION | ||||||||
| Discounted Cash Flow Analysis | Enterprise to Equity Bridge | ||||||||
| Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | ||||
| Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) | ||||||||
| EBIT | 281 | 312 | 344 | 378 | 409 | |||
| (-) Tax on EBIT | (70) | (78) | (86) | (94) | (102) | |||
| NOPAT (Net Operating Profit After Tax) | 211 | 234 | 258 | 283 | 306 | |||
| (+) Depreciation & Amortization | 85 | 86 | 87 | 88 | 89 | |||
| (-) Capital Expenditures | (95) | (97) | (97) | (98) | (96) | |||
| (-) Change in Net Working Capital | (11) | (2) | 2 | (2) | (3) | |||
| Unlevered Free Cash Flow (UFCF) | 189 | 220 | 251 | 272 | 297 | |||
| Discount Factors | ||||||||
| WACC | 10.56% | 10.56% | 10.56% | 10.56% | 10.56% | |||
| Discount Period | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | |||
| Discount Factor | 0.9510 | 0.8602 | 0.7780 | 0.7037 | 0.6365 | |||
| PV of Free Cash Flow | 180 | 189 | 195 | 191 | 189 | |||
| Terminal Value | ||||||||
| Method | Perpetuity Growth | |||||||
| Terminal Growth Rate | 2.5% | |||||||
| Terminal Year FCFF (Year 5 × (1+g)) | 304 | |||||||
| TV (Perpetuity Growth) = FCFF/(WACC-g) | 3,777 | |||||||
| Exit EV/EBITDA Multiple | 8.0x | |||||||
| Terminal Year EBITDA | 498 | |||||||
| TV (Exit Multiple) = EBITDA × Multiple | 3,982 | |||||||
| Selected Terminal Value | 3,777 | |||||||
| PV of Terminal Value | 2,404 | |||||||
| Terminal Value as % of EV | 71.8% | |||||||
| Enterprise Value Bridge | ||||||||
| Enterprise Value (EV) | 3,348 | |||||||
| Sum of PV of FCFs | 945 | |||||||
| (-) Net Debt | (380) | |||||||
| (-) Minority Interest / Other | - | |||||||
| Equity Value | 2,968 | |||||||
| Shares Outstanding (mm) | 100.0 | |||||||
| Implied Share Price | $29.68 | |||||||
| Current Share Price | $22.00 | |||||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 34.9% | |||||||
| Note: Mid-year convention applied per Assumptions. Terminal value uses selected method (Perpetuity Growth or Exit Multiple). | ||||||||