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Profit Margin Analysis |
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Combined ratio
projection, ROE analysis, and profit adequacy assessment |
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Combined Ratio Projection |
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Component |
Ratio |
Amount ($) |
Notes |
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Expected Loss Ratio |
62.0% |
$55,474,214 |
Credibility-weighted
loss ratio |
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Loss Adjustment Expense Ratio |
7.0% |
$6,265,000 |
ALAE + ULAE combined |
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Catastrophe & Large Loss Loading |
2.5% |
$2,237,500 |
CAT + shock loss
provisions |
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Total Loss & LAE Ratio |
71.5% |
$63,976,714 |
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Underwriting Expense Ratio |
26.5% |
$23,717,500 |
Total expense excl
LAE (in loss section) |
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Operating Combined Ratio |
98.0% |
$87,694,214 |
Loss Ratio + Expense
Ratio |
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Underwriting Profit / (Loss) |
2.0% |
$1,805,786 |
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Investment Income |
1.2% |
$1,109,484 |
Inv rate * reserves *
avg duration |
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Operating Profit (Pre-Tax) |
3.3% |
$2,915,270 |
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Return on Equity (ROE) Analysis |
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Metric |
Value |
Amount ($) |
Notes |
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Total Written Premium |
$89,500,000 |
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Latest year earned
premium |
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Premium-to-Surplus Ratio |
1.8x |
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Leverage ratio from
Assumptions |
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Required Surplus (Equity) |
$49,722,222 |
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Premium / P-to-S
ratio |
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Pre-Tax Underwriting Profit |
$2,915,270 |
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From combined ratio
above |
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Federal Tax |
($612,207) |
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Tax on positive
profit only |
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After-Tax Profit |
$2,303,063 |
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Return on Equity (ROE) |
4.6% |
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After-tax profit /
required surplus |
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Target ROE |
10.0% |
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From Assumptions |
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ROE Adequacy (Actual vs Target) |
(53.7%) |
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Positive = exceeds
target |
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Target vs Actual Metrics Summary |
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Metric |
Target |
Actual |
Status |
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Combined Ratio |
97.0% |
98.0% |
FAIL |
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Return on Equity |
10.0% |
4.6% |
FAIL |
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Underwriting Profit Margin |
5.0% |
2.0% |
FAIL |
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