| ← Back to Cover Page |
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Error Checks & Model
Validation |
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Automated integrity
checks to validate model consistency and flag potential issues |
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Overall Status: |
2 CHECK(S) FAILED |
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Model Validation Checks |
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# |
Check Description |
Status |
Expected |
Actual |
Notes |
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1 |
Risk class exposure %
sums to 100% |
PASS |
100.0% |
100.0% |
Sum of risk class
exposure weights |
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2 |
Territory exposure %
sums to 100% |
PASS |
100.0% |
100.0% |
Sum of territory
exposure weights |
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3 |
Expense ratio
reconciliation |
PASS |
33.5% |
33.5% |
Assumptions vs
Expense Loading total |
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4 |
Combined ratio
between 50%-150% |
PASS |
50%-150% |
98.0% |
Reasonableness check
on combined ratio |
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5 |
Expected loss ratio
is positive |
PASS |
> 0% |
62.0% |
Loss ratio must be
positive |
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6 |
Credibility weight
between 0 and 1 |
PASS |
0 - 1 |
0.8 |
Credibility must be
in [0,1] range |
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7 |
Avg historical loss
ratio 20%-120% |
PASS |
20%-120% |
63.5% |
Historical average
loss ratio check |
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8 |
Premium trend factor
is positive |
PASS |
> 0% |
3.0% |
Premium trend should
be positive |
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9 |
All expense ratios
are non-negative |
PASS |
All >= 0 |
0.3% |
No negative expense
ratios allowed |
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10 |
Loss + Expense +
Profit = ~100% |
PASS |
~100% |
101.7% |
Total components
should approximate 100% |
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11 |
Wtd avg class
relativity near base |
PASS |
0.5 - 2.0 |
1.09 |
Should be near 1.0
for balanced portfolio |
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12 |
Total policy count is
positive |
PASS |
> 0 |
15,000 |
Must have policies to
rate |
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13 |
ROE meets minimum
target |
FAIL |
10.0% |
4.6% |
Actual ROE vs target
ROE |
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14 |
Combined ratio within
target |
FAIL |
97.0% |
98.0% |
Operating combined
ratio vs target |
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15 |
Loss dev CDF to
ultimate > 1.0 |
PASS |
>= 1.0 |
1.376 |
Selected CDF must be
at least 1.0 |
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Summary |
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Total Checks: |
15 |
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Passed: |
13 |
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Failed: |
2 |
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Pass Rate: |
86.7% |
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