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SCENARIO & SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Impact analysis of key parameter changes on total inventory costs
Ordering Cost Sensitivity Demand Change Scenarios
Ordering Cost ($/order) EOQ (Total units) Annual Order Cost ($) Annual Holding Cost ($) Total Cost ($) % Change Demand Change Total EOQ (units) Total Safety Stock Total Inventory Cost ($) % Change
$45 8,910 $20,976 $22,063 $43,039 -29.3% -30% 10,542 1,477 $3,991,212 -30.0%
$68 10,912 $25,690 $27,021 $52,711 -13.4% -15% 11,617 1,627 $4,846,472 -15.0%
$90 12,600 $29,664 $31,202 $60,866 0.0% Base Case 12,600 1,765 $5,701,732 0.0%
$113 14,087 $33,166 $34,885 $68,050 11.8% 15% 13,512 1,893 $6,556,992 15.0%
$135 15,432 $36,331 $38,214 $74,545 22.5% 30% 14,366 2,012 $7,412,252 30.0%
$180 17,819 $41,952 $44,126 $86,077 41.4% 50% 15,432 2,162 $8,552,598 50.0%
Holding Cost Rate Sensitivity Service Level Impact on Safety Stock
Holding Cost Rate EOQ (Total units) Annual Order Cost ($) Annual Holding Cost ($) Total Cost ($) % Change Service Level Z-Score Safety Stock (units) SS Investment ($) % Change
9.8% 17,819 $20,976 $22,063 $43,039 -29.3% 85.0% 1.04 976 $100,335 -55.4%
14.6% 14,549 $25,690 $27,021 $52,711 -13.4% 90.0% 1.28 1,202 $123,489 -45.1%
19.5% 12,600 $29,664 $31,202 $60,866 0.0% 95.0% 1.65 1,549 $159,185 -29.2%
24.4% 11,270 $33,166 $34,885 $68,050 11.8% 97.0% 1.88 1,765 $181,375 -19.3%
29.3% 10,288 $36,331 $38,214 $74,545 22.5% 99.0% 2.33 2,187 $224,789 0.0%
39.0% 8,910 $41,952 $44,126 $86,077 41.4% 99.9% 3.09 2,901 $298,110 32.6%
Lead Time Impact on Safety Stock & Reorder Point
Lead Time Change Avg Lead Time (days) Total Safety Stock Total Reorder Point SS Investment ($) % Change
-50% 7.2 1,248 2,960 $128,251 -29.3%
-25% 10.8 1,529 4,440 $157,075 -13.4%
Base Case 14.5 1,765 5,920 $181,375 0.0%
25% 18.1 1,973 7,400 $202,783 11.8%
50% 21.7 2,162 8,880 $222,137 22.5%
100% 28.9 2,496 11,840 $256,502 41.4%
Notes:
1. Sensitivity analyses show approximate impacts based on EOQ and safety stock scaling relationships.
2. Base case rows highlighted in blue correspond to current model assumptions.
3. Modify Assumptions sheet parameters to see actual model impacts across all calculation sheets.
4. Service level Z-scores: 85%=1.04, 90%=1.28, 95%=1.65, 97%=1.88, 99%=2.33, 99.9%=3.09