← Back to Cover                      
  BASE CASE SCENARIO — 10-Year Financial Projections
  Assumptions linked from Assumptions sheet (green font = cross-sheet reference)
   
  ($mm unless noted) Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
  INCOME STATEMENT
  Revenue $850 $893 $937 $984 $1,033 $1,085 $1,139 $1,196 $1,256 $1,319 $1,385
  Revenue Growth (%)   5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
  Synergy Revenue - $13 $27 $40 $40 $40 $40 $40 $40 $40 $40
  Total Revenue $850 $906 $964 $1,024 $1,073 $1,125 $1,179 $1,236 $1,296 $1,359 $1,425
                         
  EBITDA Margin (%) 0.22 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25
  EBITDA $187 $223 $234 $246 $258 $271 $285 $299 $314 $330 $346
  Cost Synergies - $18 $37 $55 $55 $55 $55 $55 $55 $55 $55
  Total EBITDA $187 $241 $271 $301 $313 $326 $340 $354 $369 $385 $401
  (-) Depreciation & Amortization $40 $40 $40 $40 $40 $40 $40 $40 $40 $40 $40
  EBIT $147 $201 $231 $261 $273 $286 $300 $314 $329 $345 $361
  (-) Taxes $37 $50 $58 $65 $68 $72 $75 $79 $82 $86 $90
  NOPAT $110 $151 $173 $196 $205 $215 $225 $236 $247 $258 $271
                         
  FREE CASH FLOW
  NOPAT $110 $151 $173 $196 $205 $215 $225 $236 $247 $258 $271
  (+) Depreciation & Amortization $40 $40 $40 $40 $40 $40 $40 $40 $40 $40 $40
  (-) Capital Expenditures $43 $45 $48 $51 $54 $56 $59 $62 $65 $68 $71
  (-) Change in Net Working Capital - $6 $6 $6 $5 $5 $5 $6 $6 $6 $7
  (-) Integration / Restructuring Costs $40 $30 $30 - - - - - - - -
  Unlevered Free Cash Flow ($2,500) $110 $129 $179 $186 $193 $200 $208 $216 $224 $233
  Cumulative FCF ($2,500) ($2,390) ($2,261) ($2,082) ($1,896) ($1,702) ($1,502) ($1,294) ($1,078) ($854) ($621)
                         
  DCF VALUATION & RETURNS
  Discount Factor 1 0.9091 0.8264 0.7513 0.6830 0.6209 0.5645 0.5132 0.4665 0.4241 0.3855
  PV of Free Cash Flow   $100 $107 $134 $127 $120 $113 $107 $101 $95 $90
                         
  Terminal Value (Exit Multiple)                     $3,610
  PV of Terminal Value                     $1,392
                         
  Implied Enterprise Value $2,486  
  NPV (EV - Purchase Price) ($14)  
  IRR (%) -4.5%  
  MOIC (x) 0.75x  
  Payback Period (Years) >10  
  Exit EV/EBITDA (x) 9.0x  
  Yr 1 Accretion / (Dilution) -95.6%  
                         
  Note: Green-font values reference the Assumptions sheet. IRR computed on unlevered FCF stream. Terminal value uses exit multiple method. Sample data - update Assumptions to customize.