← Back to Cover                      
  BEST CASE SCENARIO — 10-Year Financial Projections
  Optimistic assumptions: higher growth, better margins, faster synergy realization, premium exit
   
  ($mm unless noted) Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
  INCOME STATEMENT
  Revenue $900 $972 $1,050 $1,134 $1,224 $1,322 $1,428 $1,542 $1,666 $1,799 $1,943
  Revenue Growth (%)   8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
  Synergy Revenue - $33 $65 $65 $65 $65 $65 $65 $65 $65 $65
  Total Revenue $900 $1,005 $1,115 $1,199 $1,289 $1,387 $1,493 $1,607 $1,731 $1,864 $2,008
                         
  EBITDA Margin (%) 0.28 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32
  EBITDA $252 $311 $336 $363 $392 $423 $457 $494 $533 $576 $622
  Cost Synergies - $40 $80 $80 $80 $80 $80 $80 $80 $80 $80
  Total EBITDA $252 $351 $416 $443 $472 $503 $537 $574 $613 $656 $702
  (-) Depreciation & Amortization $35 $35 $35 $35 $35 $35 $35 $35 $35 $35 $35
  EBIT $217 $316 $381 $408 $437 $468 $502 $539 $578 $621 $667
  (-) Taxes $54 $79 $95 $102 $109 $117 $126 $135 $145 $155 $167
  NOPAT $163 $237 $286 $306 $328 $351 $377 $404 $434 $466 $500
                         
  FREE CASH FLOW
  NOPAT $163 $237 $286 $306 $328 $351 $377 $404 $434 $466 $500
  (+) Depreciation & Amortization $35 $35 $35 $35 $35 $35 $35 $35 $35 $35 $35
  (-) Capital Expenditures $36 $40 $45 $48 $52 $55 $60 $64 $69 $75 $80
  (-) Change in Net Working Capital - $8 $9 $7 $7 $8 $8 $9 $10 $11 $12
  (-) Integration / Restructuring Costs $28 $21 $21 - - - - - - - -
  Unlevered Free Cash Flow ($2,200) $202 $246 $286 $304 $323 $343 $365 $389 $415 $443
  Cumulative FCF ($2,200) ($1,998) ($1,751) ($1,465) ($1,161) ($838) ($495) ($130) $260 $675 $1,118
                         
  DCF VALUATION & RETURNS
  Discount Factor 1 0.9259 0.8573 0.7938 0.7350 0.6806 0.6302 0.5835 0.5403 0.5002 0.4632
  PV of Free Cash Flow   $187 $211 $227 $223 $220 $216 $213 $210 $208 $205
                         
  Terminal Value (Exit Multiple)                     $8,421
  PV of Terminal Value                     $3,901
                         
  Implied Enterprise Value $6,023  
  NPV (EV - Purchase Price) $3,823  
  IRR (%) 7.3%  
  MOIC (x) 1.51x  
  Payback Period (Years) 7.3  
  Exit EV/EBITDA (x) 12.0x  
  Yr 1 Accretion / (Dilution) -90.8%  
                         
  Note: Best Case uses optimistic Assumptions (column K). Higher growth, better margins, faster synergy capture, premium exit multiple. Sample data.