| ← Back to Cover | |||||||||
| SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS | |||||||||
| Key Driver Sensitivities on Revenue, Burn, and Runway | |||||||||
| TAKE RATE vs AOV SENSITIVITY (Year 3 Annual Revenue) | |||||||||
| Base Y3 Revenue: | $674,603 | ||||||||
| Take Rate ↓ \ AOV → | $55 | $65 | $75 | $85 | $95 | $105 | $115 | ||
| 8% | $329,243 | $366,082 | $402,920 | $439,758 | $476,597 | $513,435 | $550,274 | ||
| 10% | $379,896 | $425,944 | $471,992 | $518,040 | $564,088 | $610,136 | $656,184 | ||
| 12% | $430,549 | $485,806 | $541,064 | $596,322 | $651,579 | $706,837 | $762,094 | ||
| 14% | $481,202 | $545,669 | $610,136 | $674,603 | $739,070 | $803,538 | $868,005 | ||
| 16% | $531,854 | $605,531 | $679,208 | $752,885 | $826,562 | $900,238 | $973,915 | ||
| 18% | $582,507 | $665,394 | $748,280 | $831,166 | $914,053 | $996,939 | $1,079,826 | ||
| 20% | $633,160 | $725,256 | $817,352 | $909,448 | $1,001,544 | $1,093,640 | $1,185,736 | ||
| KEY METRICS ANNUAL SUMMARY | |||||||||
| Metric | FY2026 | FY2027 | FY2028 | FY2029 | FY2030 | ||||
| Annual GMV | $1,006,050 | $2,364,000 | $3,914,080 | $5,412,690 | $6,518,710 | ||||
| Annual Net Revenue | $154,261 | $381,195 | $674,603 | $992,327 | $1,183,661 | ||||
| Revenue Growth (YoY %) | 147.1% | 77.0% | 47.1% | 19.3% | |||||
| Annual COGS | $67,070 | $139,772 | $210,209 | $266,425 | $299,861 | ||||
| Annual Gross Profit | $87,191 | $241,424 | $464,394 | $725,902 | $883,800 | ||||
| Gross Margin % | 56.5% | 63.3% | 68.8% | 73.2% | 74.7% | ||||
| Annual OpEx | $2,041,177 | $4,398,295 | $8,324,377 | $13,863,226 | $20,687,699 | ||||
| Annual EBITDA | ($1,953,986) | ($4,156,872) | ($7,859,983) | ($13,137,324) | ($19,803,900) | ||||
| EBITDA Margin % | -1266.7% | -1090.5% | -1165.1% | -1323.9% | -1673.1% | ||||
| Year-End Cash Balance | $5,095,107 | $16,276,253 | $8,911,151 | $31,504,074 | $12,519,121 | ||||
| Year-End Headcount | 14 | 31 | 55 | 90 | 126 | ||||
| NOTES | |||||||||
| - Sensitivity table uses actual Y3 order volumes from the model with varied take rates and AOVs. | |||||||||
| - Annual summary consolidates monthly figures from all supporting sheets. | |||||||||