| ← Back to Cover |
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FORWARD CURVE CONSTRUCTION |
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Monthly Forward Prices Derived from Annual Calendar Quotes +
Seasonal Shape |
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ANNUAL CALENDAR FORWARD QUOTES (from Assumptions) |
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Contract |
Year |
Base (EUR/MWh) |
Peak (EUR/MWh) |
Off-Peak (EUR/MWh) |
Peak-OffPeak Spread |
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Cal-26 |
2026 |
50.00 |
59.00 |
40.00 |
19.00 |
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Cal-27 |
2027 |
52.50 |
61.95 |
42.00 |
19.95 |
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Cal-28 |
2028 |
54.00 |
63.72 |
43.20 |
20.52 |
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Cal-29 |
2029 |
55.00 |
64.90 |
44.00 |
20.90 |
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Cal-30 |
2030 |
56.00 |
66.08 |
44.80 |
21.28 |
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SEASONAL SHAPE FACTORS (from Historical Spot Analysis) |
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Month |
Seasonal Index |
Shape Factor |
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Jan |
1.354 |
1.354 |
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Feb |
1.235 |
1.235 |
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Mar |
1.091 |
1.091 |
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Apr |
0.911 |
0.911 |
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May |
0.783 |
0.783 |
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Jun |
0.734 |
0.734 |
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Jul |
0.687 |
0.687 |
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Aug |
0.739 |
0.739 |
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Sep |
0.831 |
0.831 |
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Oct |
1.018 |
1.018 |
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Nov |
1.198 |
1.198 |
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Dec |
1.418 |
1.418 |
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Sum Check |
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12.000 |
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MONTHLY FORWARD CURVE (60 Months: 2026-2030) |
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Year |
Month |
Base Fwd |
Peak Fwd |
Off-Peak Fwd |
Seasonal Adj. |
Spread |
vs Prior Mo. |
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2026 |
1 |
67.71 |
79.90 |
54.17 |
1.354 |
25.73 |
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2026 |
2 |
61.77 |
72.88 |
49.41 |
1.235 |
23.47 |
(5.95) |
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2026 |
3 |
54.55 |
64.36 |
43.64 |
1.091 |
20.73 |
(7.22) |
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2026 |
4 |
45.54 |
53.74 |
36.43 |
0.911 |
17.30 |
(9.01) |
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2026 |
5 |
39.13 |
46.17 |
31.30 |
0.783 |
14.87 |
(6.41) |
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2026 |
6 |
36.71 |
43.32 |
29.37 |
0.734 |
13.95 |
(2.41) |
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2026 |
7 |
34.35 |
40.54 |
27.48 |
0.687 |
13.05 |
(2.36) |
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2026 |
8 |
36.93 |
43.58 |
29.55 |
0.739 |
14.03 |
2.58 |
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2026 |
9 |
41.57 |
49.06 |
33.26 |
0.831 |
15.80 |
4.64 |
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2026 |
10 |
50.91 |
60.07 |
40.73 |
1.018 |
19.34 |
9.33 |
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2026 |
11 |
59.92 |
70.70 |
47.93 |
1.198 |
22.77 |
9.01 |
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2026 |
12 |
70.91 |
83.68 |
56.73 |
1.418 |
26.95 |
11.00 |
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2027 |
1 |
71.10 |
83.90 |
56.88 |
1.354 |
27.02 |
0.18 |
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2027 |
2 |
64.85 |
76.53 |
51.88 |
1.235 |
24.64 |
(6.24) |
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2027 |
3 |
57.27 |
67.58 |
45.82 |
1.091 |
21.76 |
(7.58) |
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2027 |
4 |
47.82 |
56.42 |
38.25 |
0.911 |
18.17 |
(9.46) |
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2027 |
5 |
41.08 |
48.48 |
32.87 |
0.783 |
15.61 |
(6.73) |
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2027 |
6 |
38.55 |
45.49 |
30.84 |
0.734 |
14.65 |
(2.53) |
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2027 |
7 |
36.07 |
42.56 |
28.86 |
0.687 |
13.71 |
(2.48) |
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2027 |
8 |
38.78 |
45.76 |
31.02 |
0.739 |
14.74 |
2.71 |
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2027 |
9 |
43.65 |
51.51 |
34.92 |
0.831 |
16.59 |
4.87 |
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2027 |
10 |
53.45 |
63.07 |
42.76 |
1.018 |
20.31 |
9.80 |
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2027 |
11 |
62.91 |
74.24 |
50.33 |
1.198 |
23.91 |
9.46 |
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2027 |
12 |
74.46 |
87.86 |
59.57 |
1.418 |
28.29 |
11.55 |
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2028 |
1 |
73.13 |
86.29 |
58.50 |
1.354 |
27.79 |
(1.33) |
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2028 |
2 |
66.71 |
78.71 |
53.37 |
1.235 |
25.35 |
(6.42) |
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2028 |
3 |
58.91 |
69.51 |
47.13 |
1.091 |
22.39 |
(7.80) |
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2028 |
4 |
49.18 |
58.03 |
39.35 |
0.911 |
18.69 |
(9.73) |
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2028 |
5 |
42.26 |
49.86 |
33.80 |
0.783 |
16.06 |
(6.93) |
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2028 |
6 |
39.65 |
46.79 |
31.72 |
0.734 |
15.07 |
(2.61) |
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2028 |
7 |
37.10 |
43.78 |
29.68 |
0.687 |
14.10 |
(2.55) |
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2028 |
8 |
39.89 |
47.07 |
31.91 |
0.739 |
15.16 |
2.79 |
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2028 |
9 |
44.90 |
52.98 |
35.92 |
0.831 |
17.06 |
5.01 |
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2028 |
10 |
54.98 |
64.88 |
43.98 |
1.018 |
20.89 |
10.08 |
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2028 |
11 |
64.71 |
76.36 |
51.77 |
1.198 |
24.59 |
9.73 |
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2028 |
12 |
76.59 |
90.37 |
61.27 |
1.418 |
29.10 |
11.88 |
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2029 |
1 |
74.48 |
87.89 |
59.59 |
1.354 |
28.30 |
(2.10) |
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2029 |
2 |
67.94 |
80.17 |
54.35 |
1.235 |
25.82 |
(6.54) |
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2029 |
3 |
60.00 |
70.80 |
48.00 |
1.091 |
22.80 |
(7.94) |
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2029 |
4 |
50.09 |
59.11 |
40.07 |
0.911 |
19.04 |
(9.91) |
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2029 |
5 |
43.04 |
50.79 |
34.43 |
0.783 |
16.35 |
(7.05) |
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2029 |
6 |
40.38 |
47.65 |
32.31 |
0.734 |
15.35 |
(2.66) |
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2029 |
7 |
37.79 |
44.59 |
30.23 |
0.687 |
14.36 |
(2.59) |
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2029 |
8 |
40.63 |
47.94 |
32.50 |
0.739 |
15.44 |
2.84 |
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2029 |
9 |
45.73 |
53.96 |
36.58 |
0.831 |
17.38 |
5.10 |
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2029 |
10 |
56.00 |
66.08 |
44.80 |
1.018 |
21.28 |
10.27 |
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2029 |
11 |
65.91 |
77.77 |
52.73 |
1.198 |
25.05 |
9.91 |
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2029 |
12 |
78.01 |
92.05 |
62.40 |
1.418 |
29.64 |
12.09 |
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2030 |
1 |
75.84 |
89.49 |
60.67 |
1.354 |
28.82 |
(2.17) |
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2030 |
2 |
69.18 |
81.63 |
55.34 |
1.235 |
26.29 |
(6.66) |
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2030 |
3 |
61.09 |
72.09 |
48.87 |
1.091 |
23.21 |
(8.09) |
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2030 |
4 |
51.00 |
60.18 |
40.80 |
0.911 |
19.38 |
(10.09) |
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2030 |
5 |
43.82 |
51.71 |
35.06 |
0.783 |
16.65 |
(7.18) |
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2030 |
6 |
41.12 |
48.52 |
32.89 |
0.734 |
15.62 |
(2.70) |
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2030 |
7 |
38.48 |
45.40 |
30.78 |
0.687 |
14.62 |
(2.64) |
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2030 |
8 |
41.37 |
48.81 |
33.09 |
0.739 |
15.72 |
2.89 |
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2030 |
9 |
46.56 |
54.94 |
37.25 |
0.831 |
17.69 |
5.20 |
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2030 |
10 |
57.02 |
67.28 |
45.61 |
1.018 |
21.67 |
10.45 |
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2030 |
11 |
67.11 |
79.19 |
53.69 |
1.198 |
25.50 |
10.09 |
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2030 |
12 |
79.42 |
93.72 |
63.54 |
1.418 |
30.18 |
12.31 |
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FORWARD CURVE SUMMARY |
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Average Forward (Base): |
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53.50 |
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Max Forward (Base): |
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79.42 |
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Min Forward (Base): |
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34.35 |
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Avg Peak-OffPeak Spread: |
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20.33 |
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Note: Forward
prices are constructed by applying historical seasonal shape factors to
annual calendar forward quotes from Assumptions. Replace quotes with live
market data for production use. |
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