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POWER PRICE MODELING TEMPLATE |
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European Power Market (Nordpool-style) — Monthly Peak /
Off-Peak Analysis |
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Version: |
1 |
Date: |
12-Feb-26 |
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Market: |
European (Nordpool) |
Currency: |
EUR/MWh |
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Granularity: |
Monthly (Peak / Off-Peak) |
Horizon: |
5 Years (2021-2025 Historical + 2026-2030 Forward) |
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TABLE OF CONTENTS |
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# |
Sheet Name |
Category |
Description |
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1 |
Assumptions |
Inputs |
All model assumptions, market parameters, and
user-configurable inputs |
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2 |
Hist_Spot_Prices |
Data |
Historical monthly spot prices (Base, Peak, Off-Peak)
2021-2025 |
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3 |
Spot_Analysis |
Analysis |
Statistical analysis, seasonality patterns, distribution
metrics |
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4 |
Forward_Curve |
Model |
Forward curve construction from market quotes and
interpolation |
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5 |
Volatility |
Model |
Historical volatility, GARCH estimation, volatility term
structure |
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6 |
Simulations |
Model |
Monte Carlo price path simulations with configurable
parameters |
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7 |
Scenarios |
Analysis |
Scenario analysis: base, bull, bear, stress cases with
probabilities |
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8 |
Sensitivity |
Analysis |
2-way sensitivity tables on key price drivers and model
parameters |
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9 |
Dashboard |
Summary |
Executive summary with key metrics, charts, and model outputs |
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10 |
Error_Checks |
QC |
Model integrity checks, formula audits, and validation flags |
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COLOR CODING LEGEND |
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■ |
Blue text = Hardcoded input (user-editable) |
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■ |
Black text = Formulas
(within-sheet calculations) |
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Green text = Cross-sheet references (links) |
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Yellow highlight = Key
assumptions requiring attention |
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DISCLAIMER |
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This template uses
sample/placeholder data for demonstration. All historical spot prices and
forward quotes should be replaced with actual market data from authorized
data providers (e.g., Nordpool, EPEX, EEX). Model outputs should not be used
for trading decisions without independent verification. |
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