← Back to Cover
	EXECUTIVE DASHBOARD
	Power Price Model Summary — European Market (Nordpool)
	KEY METRICS
	Current Spot (Base)	48.5	5Y Fwd Avg (Base)	53.5	Prob-Wtd Price	57.8
	EUR/MWh		EUR/MWh		EUR/MWh
	Hist. Vol (Base, Ann.)	81.0%	GARCH Vol (Latest)	47.4%	Avg Fwd Spread (Pk-OP)	20.3
					EUR/MWh
	HISTORICAL PRICE SUMMARY (2021-2025)
	Year	Avg Base	Avg Peak	Avg Off-Peak	YoY Change	Volatility
	2021	41.28	47.45	30.97	0.0%	35.0%
	2022	131.03	150.66	98.33	217.4%	35.0%
	2023	74.39	85.52	55.78	-43.2%	35.0%
	2024	45.93	52.81	34.46	-38.3%	35.0%
	2025	38.74	44.54	29.06	-15.6%	35.0%
	5-Year Average	66.27	76.19	49.72	30.1%	35.0%
	FORWARD CURVE SUMMARY (2026-2030)
	Year	Base Fwd	Peak Fwd	Off-Peak Fwd	Spread	vs Spot
	2026	50.00	59.00	40.00	19.00	3.1%
	2027	52.50	61.95	42.00	19.95	8.2%
	2028	54.00	63.72	43.20	20.52	11.3%
	2029	55.00	64.90	44.00	20.90	13.4%
	2030	56.00	66.08	44.80	21.28	15.5%
	5-Year Average	53.50	63.13	42.80	20.33	10.3%
	SCENARIO COMPARISON
	Scenario	Probability	Avg Price	vs Base	Contribution	Range (Min-Max)
	Base Case	50.0%	53.50	0.0%	26.75	34 - 79
	Bull Case	20.0%	66.88	25.0%	13.38	43 - 99
	Bear Case	20.0%	40.13	-25.0%	8.03	26 - 60
	Stress Case	10.0%	96.30	80.0%	9.63	62 - 143
	Probability-Weighted	100.0%	57.78		57.78
	VOLATILITY SUMMARY
	Metric	Base	Peak	Off-Peak
	Historical Annualized Vol	81.0%	42.0%	38.0%
	GARCH Avg Vol (Ann.)	59.3%
	GARCH Latest Vol (Ann.)	47.4%
	GARCH Max Vol (Ann.)	116.9%
	GARCH Min Vol (Ann.)	12.2%
	GARCH Half-Life (months)	17.0
	SEASONAL PRICE PATTERN (5-Year Monthly Average, Base Load)
	Month	Avg Base	Seasonal Index	Deviation from Avg
	Jan	89.75	1.35x	23.48
	Feb	81.87	1.24x	15.59
	Mar	72.30	1.09x	6.02
	Apr	60.36	0.91x	(5.91)
	May	51.86	0.78x	(14.41)
	Jun	48.66	0.73x	(17.61)
	Jul	45.53	0.69x	(20.74)
	Aug	48.95	0.74x	(17.32)
	Sep	55.10	0.83x	(11.17)
	Oct	67.48	1.02x	1.20
	Nov	79.42	1.20x	13.15
	Dec	93.99	1.42x	27.72
	MODEL STATUS
	Check	Status	Detail
	Scenario Probabilities Sum	PASS	100.0%
	GARCH Stationarity	PASS	0.96
	Seasonal Shape Sum	PASS	12.000
	Forward Prices Positive	PASS	34.35
	Historical Data Complete	PASS	60 of 60 months
	Correlation Matrix Valid	PASS	Diagonal = 1.000
	Note: All values are dynamically linked to model sheets. Update Assumptions to see real-time changes across all sections. Sample data used throughout — replace with actual market data for production use.