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| STATISTICAL OUTPUT | ||||||||
| Comprehensive Distribution Statistics & Percentile Analysis | ||||||||
| DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS — KEY SIMULATION VARIABLES | ||||||||
| Statistic | Rev Growth | COGS % | OpEx Growth | Price Chg | Interest Rate | Portfolio Ret | ||
| Count (n) | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | ||
| Mean (μ) | 7.990% | 55.067% | 4.083% | 1.725% | 4.999% | 9.645% | ||
| Median | 7.867% | 55.005% | 4.090% | 1.000% | 5.003% | 9.381% | ||
| Mode (approx) | 7.990% | 55.067% | 0.000% | 1.000% | 4.999% | 9.645% | ||
| Standard Deviation (σ) | 5.172% | 2.912% | 1.953% | 1.409% | 0.998% | 14.872% | ||
| Variance (σ²) | 0.00267 | 0.00085 | 0.00038 | 0.00020 | 0.00010 | 0.02212 | ||
| Standard Error | 0.164% | 0.092% | 0.062% | 0.045% | 0.032% | 0.470% | ||
| Minimum | -8.881% | 43.822% | 0.000% | 1.000% | 1.512% | -32.766% | ||
| Maximum | 22.849% | 63.492% | 9.980% | 9.654% | 7.929% | 59.306% | ||
| Range | 31.729% | 19.670% | 9.980% | 8.654% | 6.417% | 92.073% | ||
| IQR (Q3 - Q1) | 6.831% | 3.924% | 2.886% | 0.861% | 1.329% | 19.873% | ||
| Skewness | 0.038 | -0.040 | 0.064 | 2.409 | -0.054 | 0.136 | ||
| Kurtosis (Excess) | -0.074 | 0.036 | -0.332 | 5.927 | 0.049 | -0.143 | ||
| Coefficient of Variation | 0.647 | 0.053 | 0.478 | 0.817 | 0.200 | 1.542 | ||
| Jarque-Bera Statistic | 0.47 | 0.32 | 5.29 | 2430.81 | 0.59 | 3.95 | ||
| Normal Distribution? | ✓ Yes | ✓ Yes | ✓ Yes | ✗ No | ✓ Yes | ✓ Yes | ||
| PERCENTILE DISTRIBUTION TABLE | ||||||||
| Percentile | Rev Growth | COGS % | OpEx Growth | Price Chg | Interest Rate | Portfolio Ret | ||
| 1st Percentile | -3.165% | 48.464% | 0.000% | 1.000% | 2.501% | -21.837% | ||
| 5th Percentile | -0.586% | 50.299% | 0.745% | 1.000% | 3.432% | -13.633% | ||
| 10th Percentile | 1.187% | 51.344% | 1.656% | 1.000% | 3.797% | -9.647% | ||
| 25th Percentile (Q1) | 4.552% | 53.134% | 2.637% | 1.000% | 4.320% | -0.139% | ||
| 50th Percentile (Median) | 7.867% | 55.005% | 4.090% | 1.000% | 5.003% | 9.381% | ||
| 75th Percentile (Q3) | 11.383% | 57.058% | 5.522% | 1.861% | 5.649% | 19.735% | ||
| 90th Percentile | 14.492% | 58.834% | 6.609% | 3.672% | 6.286% | 28.843% | ||
| 95th Percentile | 16.929% | 59.743% | 7.245% | 4.907% | 6.635% | 35.018% | ||
| 99th Percentile | 20.229% | 61.795% | 8.710% | 7.064% | 7.291% | 43.527% | ||
| FINANCIAL OUTCOME PERCENTILES | ||||||||
| Percentile | Year 1 Revenue | Year 5 Revenue | Year 1 Net Income | Year 1 EBIT | ||||
| 1st Percentile | $48,417,587 | $42,573,143 | $2,477,599 | $4,258,263 | ||||
| 5th Percentile | $49,706,814 | $48,551,162 | $3,445,817 | $5,600,132 | ||||
| 10th Percentile | $50,593,261 | $53,037,540 | $4,032,830 | $6,277,416 | ||||
| 25th Percentile (Q1) | $52,275,998 | $62,464,272 | $4,876,141 | $7,479,988 | ||||
| 50th Percentile (Median) | $53,933,605 | $73,015,869 | $5,813,336 | $8,764,610 | ||||
| 75th Percentile (Q3) | $55,691,447 | $85,716,120 | $6,765,573 | $9,996,098 | ||||
| 90th Percentile | $57,245,875 | $98,365,087 | $7,684,918 | $11,281,820 | ||||
| 95th Percentile | $58,464,437 | $109,289,599 | $8,291,267 | $12,080,605 | ||||
| 99th Percentile | $60,114,712 | $125,609,904 | $9,256,469 | $13,239,793 | ||||
| NOTES | ||||||||
| • Jarque-Bera test: JB < 5.99 indicates data is approximately normally distributed at 95% confidence | ||||||||
| • Coefficient of Variation = σ/μ (relative dispersion measure, lower = less risky) | ||||||||
| • Yellow highlighted rows indicate median (50th percentile) values | ||||||||